Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.272077 1.504390 1.747409 2.018992 2.312510 2.618780 2.961155
2024-12-29 0.950713 1.275985 1.638107 2.064219 2.545622 3.067134 3.669560
2025-01-05 0.758760 1.124256 1.550494 2.070214 2.674450 3.344244 4.132972
2025-01-12 0.592538 0.976738 1.446789 2.039990 2.748083 3.549118 4.508048
2025-01-19 0.526371 0.940847 1.466014 2.144705 2.969133 3.914037 5.056940
2025-01-26 0.476418 0.917953 1.495278 2.256762 3.195339 4.282588 5.608598
2025-02-02 0.440315 0.908059 1.536802 2.380552 3.433099 4.662928 6.172779
2025-02-09 0.416237 0.911399 1.592991 2.520883 3.689762 5.064983 6.762204
2025-02-16 0.375366 0.884141 1.604476 2.601397 3.871107 5.376444 7.244961
2025-02-23 0.322442 0.831111 1.575939 2.626462 3.981052 5.600674 7.623726
2025-03-02 0.247123 0.729913 1.472038 2.546321 3.954529 5.657004 7.800867
2025-03-09 0.181663 0.632504 1.364872 2.454895 3.908205 5.684951 7.940453
2025-03-16 0.134422 0.560936 1.294228 2.415192 3.933528 5.808736 8.206496
2025-03-23 0.108579 0.527151 1.279428 2.452330 4.059089 6.057758 8.626271
2025-03-30 0.083029 0.486077 1.248532 2.463270 4.147557 6.258491 8.985518
2025-04-06 0.056169 0.430677 1.188520 2.428511 4.172845 6.378482 9.245270
2025-04-13 0.051419 0.435596 1.231163 2.544253 4.399970 6.753017 9.817244
2025-04-20 0.047899 0.443342 1.278558 2.667149 4.637084 7.140714 10.406146
2025-04-27 0.045990 0.455847 1.334403 2.802884 4.891980 7.551502 11.024204
2025-05-04 0.045948 0.474696 1.401820 2.956335 5.171418 7.994067 11.682197
2025-05-11 0.039775 0.469947 1.425917 3.044247 5.361687 8.323470 12.201094
2025-05-18 0.029536 0.444787 1.410785 3.071589 5.468604 8.546327 12.588323
2025-05-25 0.014567 0.383761 1.322982 2.984125 5.415446 8.562788 12.718750